The Centers for Disease Control released information showing how many people who died from COVID-19 had comorbidities or underlying conditions as they are sometimes referred to by doctors. According to the CDC, comorbidity is defined as: ” more than one disease or condition is present in the same person at the same time. Conditions described as…
Tag: IFR
Ivor Cummins reports “USA Viral Update – the Latest Data Explained in Brief – Know the Data!”
A lot of USA people asking about the current situation, though I focus more on Europe. But here’s the latest for USA numbers and inferences – please share to our USA friends…
CDC releases Covid-19 Pandemic Planning Scenarios
Updated September 10, 2020: The Infection Fatality Ratio parameter has been updated to include age-specific estimates The parameter for Number of Days from Symptom Onset to Seeking Outpatient Care—which was based on influenza care seeking data—has been replaced with the Median Number of Days from Symptom Onset to SARS-CoV-2 Test among SARS-CoV-2 Positive Patients A…
RT reports “The 1% blunder: How a simple but fatal math mistake by US Covid-19 experts caused the world to panic and order lockdowns”
In February, US Covid guru Anthony Fauci predicted the virus was ‘akin to a severe flu’ and would therefore kill around 0.1 percent of people. Then fatality rate predictions were somehow mixed up to make it look ten times WORSE. When you strip everything else out, the reason for lockdown comes from a single figure:…
JB Handley report “Lockdown Lunacy 3.0: It’s over”
If you’re hoping the COVID-19 pandemic will go on forever, this post may disappoint you. And, I get it. We have gone frothing-at-the-mouth nuts over a slightly above-normal virulence virus, with a unique and obvious age-distribution pattern that should have made containment easy and panic completely unnecessary. And, if you’re living in the United States,…
Dr. Malcolm Kendrick reports “COVID – why terminology really, really matters”
When is a case not a case? Since the start of the COVID pandemic I have watched almost everyone get mission critical things wrong. In some ways this is not surprising. Medical terminology is horribly imprecise, and often poorly understood. In calmer times such things are only of interest to research geeks like me. Were…
Reason reports “CDC Data Confirm That Young People Face a Negligible Risk of Dying From COVID-19”
The latest data on COVID-19 cases and fatalities from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) confirm that young people face a negligible risk of dying from the disease, while people 65 and older face a much higher risk. Patients 65 or older account for about 16 percent of confirmed cases but four-fifths of COVID-19 deaths….
Stanford Medicine reports “actual IFR from Covid-19 range from 0.02% to 0.40%”
Twelve studies were identified with usable data to enter into calculations. Seroprevalence estimates ranged from 0.113% to 25.9% and adjusted seroprevalence estimates ranged from 0.309% to 33%. Infection fatality rates ranged from 0.03% to 0.50% and corrected values ranged from 0.02% to 0.40%. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v1.full.pdf
CEBM reports “Global Covid-19 Case Fatality Rates”
Emerging evidence suggests many more people are infected. than tested. In Vo Italy, at the time the first symptomatic case was diagnosed, about 3%, had already been infected – most were completely asymptomatic. We could make a simple estimation of the IFR as 0.28%, based on halving the lowest boundary of the CFR prediction interval. However, the considerable…
Reason reports “The CDC’s New ‘Best Estimate’ Implies a COVID-19 Infection Fatality Rate Below 0.3%”
That rate is much lower than the numbers used in the horrifying projections that shaped the government response to the epidemic. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the current “best estimate” for the fatality rate among Americans with COVID-19 symptoms is 0.4 percent. The CDC also estimates that 35 percent of…