In the face of a novel virus threat, China clamped down on its citizens. Academics used faulty information to build faulty models. Leaders relied on these faulty models. Dissenting views were suppressed. The media flamed fears and the world panicked. That is the story of what may eventually be known as one of the biggest…
Category: Epidemiology
Dr. Paul discusses “Face Masks & Face Shields: Should We Wear Them?”
I cover in this presentation the effectiveness of the different types of masks and face shields at protecting the wearer and at preventing the spread of COVID-19. You may be shocked to learn what the science has to say about this. The summary of that: N95 masks work best, face shields are great, then hospital…
Stanford Medicine reports “actual IFR from Covid-19 range from 0.02% to 0.40%”
Twelve studies were identified with usable data to enter into calculations. Seroprevalence estimates ranged from 0.113% to 25.9% and adjusted seroprevalence estimates ranged from 0.309% to 33%. Infection fatality rates ranged from 0.03% to 0.50% and corrected values ranged from 0.02% to 0.40%. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v1.full.pdf
Vaxxter reports “Dr. Fauci is No Nostradamus: How COVID-19 Ran Amok Under His Watch”
Dr. Fauci shared his foresight with medical peers at a Georgetown forum when he stated, “There will be a surprise outbreak during Trump’s first term.” Fauci’s prediction wasn’t conjured from the alignment of the stars and planets, or a passage lifted out of the Bible. No. He didn’t develop any such gift. Instead, he arrived at his foresight…
PJ Media reports “COVID-19 May Soon Lose Status as an ‘Epidemic’ Under CDC Guidelines”
Despite the recent spike in COVID-19 cases, deaths have continued to decline and may soon reach a level where the coronavirus will no longer qualify as an epidemic under CDC guidelines. A disease outbreak qualifies as an “epidemic” by the CDC when the number of weekly deaths caused by the disease exceeds a certain percentage…
Dr. John Ioannidis reports “risk of dying from Covid-19 for ages less than 65 akin to driving to work.”
In this long-awaited follow-up to his interview in late March, Dr. John Ioannidis discusses the results of three preliminary studies, (including his latest, which shows a drastically reduced infection fatality rate); the worrisome effects of the lockdown; the Swedish approach; the Italian data; the ups and downs of testing; the feasibility of “contact tracing”, and…
The Federalist reports “CDC: After 10-Week Decline In COVID-19 Deaths, It May Soon No Longer Be An Epidemic”
The United States now has so few deaths due to COVID-19 that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported Friday it is approaching the threshold for dipping below the level of an epidemic. https://thefederalist.com/2020/07/06/cdc-after-10-week-decline-in-covid-19-deaths-it-may-soon-no-longer-be-an-epidemic/
CEBM reports “Global Covid-19 Case Fatality Rates”
Emerging evidence suggests many more people are infected. than tested. In Vo Italy, at the time the first symptomatic case was diagnosed, about 3%, had already been infected – most were completely asymptomatic. We could make a simple estimation of the IFR as 0.28%, based on halving the lowest boundary of the CFR prediction interval. However, the considerable…